Dec 20, 2012

The Future of Computer Technologies

Unknown | 10:50 PM | | | | |

Microsoft has been doing research since 2007 to find another prospective workshop for the evolution of Human-Machine Interfaces (HMI). They recently published an impressive document on what these interfaces will be like in the year 2020. The report concludes that by 2020, speech and gestures will play a crucial role in our relationship with machines. Nerve impulses will begin to be used to control computers, especially for the disabled. The report also predicts that ubiquitous connectivity will enable systems to act as substitutes for human memory, and when will be combined with the increased processing power; we will begin to supplement human reasoning. Traceability of our movements and actions will cease to accelerate and instead will expand, raising serious issues of confidentiality. In the medical field, the boundary between the human and the computer, via implanted medical devices, will begin to fade.

Incorporating human hopes and goals
An important consequence of the work done by Microsoft is to show that research on new technologies will mobilize knowledge that will go beyond the mere computer. The hopes and goals of the people must be incorporated into the process of technology development, and early on, because it makes a big difference in what technologies eventually become.

Ubiquitous computing
By 2020, according to the report, we should move from computer to mobile ubiquitous computing: each of us has access to thousands of computers. Our activities will be continuously recorded, and will be constantly available. Despite their very techno-centric side, the Microsoft experts are never the less critical, on machines they imagine will exist in the future.

The design process
The authors of the study, exhorted to add a fifth step in the design process. The current design process goes in four main stages: research, design, build, evaluate and understand. Future design processes will have to install a fifth step known as “human values.” At a time when data is expected to be permanently stored and shared, designers should take into account human values ‌‌such as privacy, security, morality, ethics, etc.

The relationship between humans and machines
Referring to GPS navigation systems, the authors note that if people are willing to obey the instructions given by stupidly simple computers, we should worry even more about the relationship between humans and machines, especially if computers are to become more frequent, more complex. People have driven into rivers because their GPS navigation system told them to. How much danger are people going to be in when there are blindly obeying advice from their dialysis machine or cooker?

Where now?
Apart from the research that Microsoft has done in order to find out how computers will be in the future, they have also taken steps to get us there a little quicker. One of the devices they have designed is the "Holoflector". This is a screen mirror that reflects your image onto an overlay as another image generated by an LED screen behind the mirror. The second image is generated by a Kinect sensor, which enables the image to appear 3D (making it look like a hologram).

The Microsoft Translator Hub
This is a machine-translation system that is customized for each linguistic community, especially those whose first language is considered to be endangered. It is ideal for current languages ‌‌translation, and supports language that other software does not support. There are approximately 7,000 languages ‌‌spoken around the world, and UNESCO believes that 50% of these languages ‌‌are endangered. Languages ‌‌that disappear are those that contain rare or unique linguistic phenomena. An example is the Aboriginal languages ‌‌of Australia, the Berber languages ‌‌of North Africa, or Breton in France, the Burgundian or Picard.

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